Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.251346 1.535027 1.901851 2.426515 3.186042 4.296826 6.157769
2025-03-16 0.855446 1.147388 1.582031 2.325606 3.693032 6.462018 14.066217
2025-03-23 0.695560 0.991986 1.480271 2.441736 4.628145 10.885877 46.632358
2025-03-30 0.584299 0.868068 1.369141 2.463288 5.421976 17.306807 241.226979
2025-04-06 0.498743 0.761760 1.249092 2.396419 5.954357 25.628820 8198.774325
2025-04-13 0.437773 0.683816 1.158156 2.349298 6.538818 39.459007 NaN
2025-04-20 0.410761 0.660887 1.169489 2.567395 8.524408 103.320056 NaN
2025-04-27 0.382074 0.628801 1.151757 2.698927 10.532865 341.758651 NaN
2025-05-04 0.350465 0.585452 1.097552 2.691787 11.878940 1409.202575 NaN
2025-05-11 0.319084 0.537996 1.023443 2.584905 12.410527 8815.537391 NaN
2025-05-18 0.300144 0.513440 0.999590 2.647936 14.712941 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.286770 0.498582 0.996597 2.792511 18.748058 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.269282 0.473229 0.962828 2.804880 21.741879 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.249234 0.440181 0.903040 2.679873 22.337355 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.239706 0.429272 0.901504 2.822232 29.521132 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.227809 0.411642 0.877814 2.848713 35.310508 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.214372 0.389152 0.836464 2.766463 37.741094 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.202872 0.370092 0.802293 2.708635 41.239799 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.199666 0.369952 0.824133 2.977151 68.377679 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.194144 0.363718 0.826338 3.140143 104.830435 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.185909 0.350168 0.803283 3.131275 129.929099 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.176257 0.332430 0.764419 2.998803 131.874804 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.170804 0.324544 0.756398 3.076863 195.018422 NaN NaN